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The UnexpectedNarrative Temporality and the Philosophy of Surprise$
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Mark Currie

Print publication date: 2013

Print ISBN-13: 9780748676293

Published to Edinburgh Scholarship Online: May 2013

DOI: 10.3366/edinburgh/9780748676293.001.0001

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Prediction and the Age of the Unknowable

Prediction and the Age of the Unknowable

Chapter:
(p.55) Chapter 3 Prediction and the Age of the Unknowable
Source:
The Unexpected
Author(s):

Mark Currie

Publisher:
Edinburgh University Press
DOI:10.3366/edinburgh/9780748676293.003.0004

This chapter is about the emergence of ideas about unpredictability in the modern world. It surveys ideas about unpredictability and uncertainty in the sciences, in the human sciences and economics, as well as in popular contexts such as Taleb's notion of the Black Swan event. It argues that a new account of the contemporary has arisen in parallel with, and in reaction to, a postmodern notion that the future was somehow blocked or doomed to repeat the past. It develops the idea from previous chapters that the unexpected and the future anterior represent two fundamentally different conceptions of time, and that both are evident in our global self-understandings and the accounts we offer of contemporary epochal temporality. It explores Popper's ideas about prediction, various characterizations of the postmodern in terms of a future anterior, and moves into a set of ideas in Bergson that these two conceptions of time are in tension in perception in general. It therefore outlines a range of ideas about the future anterior and the unexpected as the operate in existential moments and in epochal descriptions.

Keywords:   Future anterior, epoch, prediction, postmodernism, economics

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